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CryptoXTimes > Article > Bitcoin News > Bitcoin Faces Potential Drop Below $54,000 Amid Market Volatility and Rate Cut Expectations
Bitcoin NewsNews

Bitcoin Faces Potential Drop Below $54,000 Amid Market Volatility and Rate Cut Expectations

Bitcoin may drop below $54,000 amid market volatility and a rate cut.

Haider Ali
Last updated: September 4, 2024 1:03 pm
Haider Ali 9 months ago
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Bitcoin Whales Reactivate As Prices Soar High

According to some experts, Bitcoin’s price could drop below $54,000, which would be a significant shift for the cryptocurrency market. This happens after the global crypto market value dropped sharply and now stands below the important $2 trillion mark.

Total Crypto market cap, 1-month chart. Source: CoinMarketCap

Some experts say that Bitcoin’s price could fall below $54,000. If that happens, it would be a significant shift for the bitcoin market. This is happening because the value of the crypto market dropped sharply and is now less than the important $2 trillion mark.

Bitcoin’s Path Forward: Potential Correction Below $54,000 Amid Fed Rate Cut Expectations

Alex Kuptsikevich, a senior market expert at FxPro, said that Bitcoin would have to drop to around $54,000 before it could start to go up again. Based on Kuptsikevich’s analysis, Bitcoin could fall even further, below $50,000, if current trends continue.

BTC/USD, 1-month chart.

The fact that people think the US Federal Reserve might lower interest rates makes things even more complicated. This long-awaited change could happen in September, which is usually seen as good for risky investments like Bitcoin. Analysts at Bitfinex have said that a drop in interest rates could theoretically help Bitcoin, but it could also lead to a significant drop in price if the economy as a whole doesn’t get better soon.

Different investors have different ideas about what will happen at the Federal Reserve’s meeting on September 18.

Odds of an interest rate cut. Source: CME FedWatch

According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 59% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut and a 41% chance of a significantly greater 50 basis point cut. This uncertainty makes the future for Bitcoin’s price even more complicated.

A significant drop in money coming into US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in September has made Bitcoin even more volatile. According to data from Farside Investors, US ETFs lost over $287 million in five days, showing that money was leaving the funds.

Bitcoin ETF Flow (USD, million). Source: Farside Investors

Historically, September has been a bearish month for Bitcoin, with average returns of -4.69%, according to CoinGglass data.

Bitcoin monthly returns percentage. Source: CoinGlass

Even with these problems, there is still a chance that money will move into Bitcoin ETFs. By February 15, 2024, spot ETFs were responsible for about 75% of all new Bitcoin investments. They could be very important in driving Bitcoin prices to new highs if the current trend changes.

Investors and analysts will be keeping a close eye on Bitcoin’s movements and the effects of upcoming economic indicators as the market navigates these rough seas.

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TAGGED: Bitcoin, BTC, Crypto
By Haider Ali
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Haider Ali is a seasoned crypto journalist known for delivering insightful analysis and breaking news in the blockchain and cryptocurrency space. His work is featured in leading industry publications, earning him a reputation as a trusted voice in the crypto community.
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